Concept Consultants

Voltas Ltd, and TATA group company is an air-conditioning and engineering solutions provider. While the company’s primary business is providing comfort air-conditioning requirements for homes and offices, malls, airports homes and multiplexes, it also operates in areas which require monitoring of temperature, humidity, or treatment of air. The users in this segment include steel and power plants, petrochemicals facilities and laboratories. The company is also into manufacturing of material handling equipment and provides agency services for selling textile machines and construction and mining equipment. This diversification should provide cushion for the company against any slowdown in any one segment.

The company’s main strengths lie principally in area of, the design and manufacturing of industrial equipments, and management and execution of air conditioning and public work projects. In it’s engineering division the company caters products and services to the Textile industries and mining & construction equipments,

The Company in its results for Q2 FY2009 ahs reported Sales / Income from Operations an increase by 29% to Rs.931 crores, as against Rs.722 crores in the same period last year.  Operating Profit has increased by 28% to Rs.89 crores as against Rs.69 crores in the same period last year. Profit after Tax increased by 16% to Rs.62 crores, as compared to Rs.53 crores in the same period last year.

The Company’s Electro-mechanical Projects and Services segment’s revenues grew by 40%. The Order Book of this segment stands at Rs.5575 crores, registering a   growth of 107%.

The Engineering Products and Services segment’s revenues grew by 21%, despite a slow down in demand for capital equipment.  Mining & Construction Equipment business achieved 40% growth in sales, over the corresponding period, last year.
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The company share price which has fallen more than Rs. 200 from its 52week high of Rs. 261 to current market price of 61 is currently trading at attractive PE  compare to its pears. And the stock which has been recommended by most of the stock brokers and fundamental analysts if good pick at these level and can scale to higher levels in a years time.
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Punj Lloyd Ltd is a diversified in Engineering & Construction services in Oil & Gas, Infrastructure and Petrochemicals, and with interests in Defense, Aviation, Marine and Upstream sectors. The company known for its capabilities in finishing the mega project on time

The company has done projects across the world, the Group continues to provide integrated design, engineering, procurement, and construction and project management services for the energy, infrastructure and petrochemical sectors. From pipelines, tanks and terminals to refineries, power plants to renewable, airports, rail transit systems to expressways, the Group can offer EPC solutions across a wide spectrum of businesses.

The company has recently singed MOU with Thorium Power Ltd, The MOU establishes a framework to explore and identify the strengths of Thorium Power in areas of the deployment of Thorium Power’s nuclear fuel designs in India, Southeast Asia and other territories; to expand consulting activities for the development of nuclear power generation regionally and worldwide; and to pursue the establishment of a joint venture between Thorium Power and Punj Lloyd to best capitalize on the emerging nuclear renaissance. 

In the Q2 FY2009 company got more orders for leading companies like, Qatar petrochemical, GVK Power. The company also won it’s first drilling contract in Libya. The company’s order book stood at more than 21000 crore at end Q2. As per the company statement the 28% of order book is from South Asia and 26% from Middle East, 37% form south East Asia and Asia pacific.

The company announced following numbers in its Sep 2008 (Q2) quarter.

Total revenue of the company have gone up by 53% to Rs2954 crore. The net profit after tax of the company has shown increase of 60% to Rs. 144 crore. The EPS of the company stood Rs. 4.94 for Q2 FY2009 and Rs 8.44 for half year. Also the EBITA of the company has been showing consistent growth to the tune of above 75%.

The company has been trading in the range of 120-140-170 and at current market price the company is trading at around 11 times of last yeas EPS of 12.65 and the company has already reported 8.44 for first two quarter. The stock price of the company had heavy correction along with the entire market, looks good the current market price.

On Technical charts the company made its 52 week High of Rs 656 and low of 127.40, if showing consolidation formation and trading in the range of 130-180 range the stock huge support at 140 levels, Rs 140 has been acting as support when the stock is trading above 140 and as  resistance when the stock is trading below 140. In my view the stock may reach 250-300 range in year’s time. Investors with long term view can invest in this stock.

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Cairn India which is an Indian arm of Cairn Energy Plc, which is mainly into Oil and Gas exploration and production, Cairn India has become one of the leading players in oil and gas industry. Cairn which came with an IPO in January 2007 has garbed considerable amount of market capital and has become India’s fourth largest oil and Gas Company

Cairn has mainly operating its exploration business in Rajasthan, in 2004 the company made one of the largest oil discoveries in India. Recently company also made oil and gas discovery in Rajasthan,

The company has announced following numbers in its Sep 2008 quarter results.

The consolidated Profit before tax for Q3 2008 was Rs. 3,600 million (US$ 82.5 million) and for Q3 2007 was Rs. 674 million (US$ 16.6 million).

The consolidated Profit after providing for tax (including deferred tax and FBT) for Q3 2008 was Rs. 2,933 million (US$ 67.2 million) and for Q3 2007 was Rs. 232 million (US$ 5.7 million). Tax (including current tax and deferred tax) is calculated at entity level and not on a consolidated basis; losses arising within one jurisdiction are not available for offset against profits arising in another.

The Companies stock price made its life time high of Rs.342.70 when crude oil touched record high, and has treaded as low as 88.20 in last 52 weeks. Now the company trading in trading range of 140-170, at current market price the stock is at higher side of the trading range, investor with long term view can buy the stock for target of 300+ in years time.

With company making new oil and gas discovery and crude oil prices getting consolidating around the 38-48 mark the company can make good profits going forward.

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Deepak Fertilizer and Petrochemicals, is mainly into production of chemicals which accounts for 66% of its revenues and 87% of its net profits and manufacturing of fertilizers accounting 31.8% of revenues and 11% of Net Profit. The company has recently forayed in the realty sector with the setup of a specialty Mall in Pune, which also generated almost 4 crores of revenues in Sep 08 quarter.

The company in the last quarter has announced a net profit increase of 91% amounting to 41.81 crores and jump of 65% in revenues to 369 crores. The company during the last financial year had touched 1000 crores of revenue for the year and is well on track this year to surpass it by crossing 700 crores of revenue in the first half. The EPS declared for the half year is 9.83 compared to 11.37 declared for FY08.

The company is currently trading at 5 times its last year earnings. At the 52 Week high, the valuation had jumped to 15 times on 6-Jan-2008. With the companies diversification into realty providing it a steady stream of revenue and hopes of a brighter future for its fertilizer business and the drop in prices of raw materials especially Naphtha gives a brighter cost future for the company. The only risk being the downturn in the economy leading to depression in prices and sales. But we expect the company to be better placed to face the uncertain future with its past execution strength, strong management and well planned diversification. The valuation at 4 times is quite attractive considering the high dividend yield of 4%.

Technicals
The company made a 52 week high of 178 on 2-Jan-2008 and a 52 Week low of 40 on 27-Oct-2008. Its all time high was 178 made on 2-Jan-2008. The price has fallen sharply since and is now taking support at 50 levels. It is forming an inverted head and shoulder pattern with potential upside target of 69 in the short term . Once it breaks above the 69 resistance it can move up to 90. On the downside, the stop loss should be placed at 47 which can be broken if there is fresh panic in the markets.

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Year 2008 has been not so good for the Indian stock markets, as the Nifty has lost nearly 53% in year’s time. The fall in prices has sharp and volatile and many large caps and other stocks have seen heavy selling and lost most of their gain achieved in last few years.
Some of the stocks lost to the extent of more than 90% and have become best buys, but one need to excises great degree of study before making investments in these companies.
There are some good companies which have lost quite a bit and have become good buys at current market prices.
These stocks have been picked based on technical analysis and can be invested only with long term view. Investor with 1-2 year holding period can buy these stocks for good returns.

portfolio of 9 best stocks with 10 lakhs investment for referance.  

Stocks to Invest in 2009

CMP As on 26-12-2008
As current markets are showing some kind of weakness and volatility so one has to understand even these stocks may see some downside from current levels. But in long term these stocks will see good upside.

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Cairn India which dose oil exploration business in India having its main focus on Rajasthan, India has stuck more oil and gas.

 

The company which has the production sharing contract with ONGC for this oil field in which the cairn hold 70%

 

The companies share price has trading between 130-170 in recent times, the market analyst feel the stock is good long term buy.

 

Though the fall crude oil price may act as dampener in the share price movement and the analyst feel the stock can touch 300-320 levels in long term.

 

Investor with the long term can buy the stock for handsome returns

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In order to increase the capital inflows in Indian markets today SEBI chairman Mr. C. B. Bhave has announced changes in P-notes policy. SEBI today scraped a rule which allowed P-notes could only account for upto 40% of the value of assets foreign fund, he also said entire framework for FII participation needs to be reviewed.

As per Oct 2007 decision FII’s were expected to bring down total p-notes issuance to 40% of their total assets before march 2009. However Mr. Bhave himself told the reporters that FII issuance of P-notes has already come down substantially and thus today’s decision may not make any immediate difference to FII position.

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Today Indian central bank, The RBI reduced CRR by 50 basis points to ease liquidity in the market. This measure was undertaken as an ad-hoc measure on a temporary basis. RBI has indicated that it will adopt a proactive policy and continue taking such ad-hoc measure from time to time depending on market conditions. The indian banks were facing tight liquidity crunch and this could have led to a major liquidity crisis hence all banks have welcomed this move and called for another 50 basis point drop. HDFC Bank chairman Mr. Deepak Parekh while welcoming this move said that this action was long overdue and infact should have been taken on last friday itself.

The RBI will hold a meeting at the end of this month where further actions are expected, this move is only expected to have an effect on overnight call rates and lending deposit rates will not be affected.

The above said action will come into effect from 11 Oct 2008 and will result in a liquidity release of 20,000 crores. Watch out for Banking stocks in tomorrow’s trading session.

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Indian markets faced a severe selling pressure on the news that some of the European banks are also facing problems similar to US banks and seeking heavy bailout packages from respective governments has led Indian markets to see new lows since march 2007.

Metal stocks and Real Estate are the ones which are facing heavy selling pressure, highly leveraged stocks such as Aban Lloyd, DLF, Unitech, private banking major ICICI bank saw heavy cuts in today’s trade.

As per the traders, market is expected to see four digit tick on sensex in next few days.

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If you have not filed your Income Tax returns then better be quick and complete the formalities by July 31, here are some consequences which might occur if you fail to pay the tax or file your IT Returns:
1) The tax department may impose a penalty of up to Rs 5,000 under section 271F on you for not filing IT Return.
2) If you have unpaid tax of more than Rs 3,000 but less than Rs 1 Lakh, you can be sentenced for a jail term of three months along with the penalty.
3) If the unpaid tax amount is more than Rs 1 Lakh the jail tern can increase to a minimum of six months to a maximum of seven years, over and above the penalty.
4) In case a person does not file returns but submits documents like Form 16A and other TDS certificates after getting a notice, he can be still asked to pay a penalty of Rs 5000.
5) If the person ignores the notice then the penalty will increase to Rs 10,000 for each notice.

However, return filing can be extended to till April 2009, the last date of assessment year for 2007-08 if there is a genuine ground, There are several advantages also like:
1) Income tax law allows carry forward of set off business losses against the income in the subsequent years.
2) If more tax than the due amount is deducted from your income, you will get the refund only after filing the returns.
3) If you file the return by July 31, you will also get the interest on the refund amount for the period between April 1, 2008 and the date of refund but if you file your returns after July 31, 2008, you will not get the interest.

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